CES and MacWorld are unexciting, or is that the real point?

Bit of a strange piece, based on disappointment rather than reflective realisation of maybe this is a turning point. Two big shows in the same week; the Consumer Electronics Show, CES, in Las Vegas and MacWorld in San Francisco should have brought something revolutionary to the market, and yet if there was something I couldn’t see it. What I could see was evolutionary, take any of the technologies from Blu-ray to media centres, WiFi to WiMax and the products were there in abundance, from which I take the message that the era of the digital lifestyle has well and truly arrived, and the crossover between technology vendors and consumer vendors is now a fact of life.
From Cisco to HP, Yahoo to Google, they are all there at CES showing how their core technology is reapplied to the consumer digital lifestyle. You can get a pretty good run down on exactly what products were on show at http://ces.cnet.com/ but more interesting is a live blog reporting minute by minute in real time what Steve Ballmer had to say in his first keynote replacing the traditional address from Bill Gates. Do look for the place in which he stated “The fact of the matter is, this is not a downturn, this is a bit of a reset”


So what about MacWorld? Well again the usual keynote speaker in the form of Steve Jobs wasn’t there, though the Mac fans were there in huge numbers, and most surprising of all this is the last MacWorld that Apple will be doing. The result in the eyes of the press was a huge nothing to say, and even that has been considered an insulting close to an event loyally attended by Mac fans. So we enter 2009 with a sense that the product revolution is now in an evolutionary stage and that’s when I started to think that the real focus has shifted from the product to the smart services that capitalise on the platforms that all these products provide.
For thought provoking challenge of what can an enterprise can do in the market ‘reset’ as Steve Ballmer calls it, try reading what the Economist had to say in the same week about Rolls Royce and its model for smart services in the aircraft engine business. This is a remarkable story around how in real time, with aircraft in the air, Rolls Royce is monitoring and deciding on service requirements etc. Now let’s look back at the CES and what doesn’t make the product centric headlines because it the less tangible service.
For a start there is Cisco entering a whole new market by providing a hosting service called Eos for various forms of content that smaller companies want to resell and lack the skill money etc to set up their own online service. There are two ways of looking at this, the products Cisco sells through Linksys are creating a market for more media consumption, or to sell the Cisco products like their new Media Hub there must be content!
Then there is the teaming up of Yahoo with LG, Samsung etc to offer a new Internet TV experience around services to make good use of the digital switch over in the USA. The trick is Yahoo adding a widget to the TV sets so that they will work with the Yahoo service, and this is claimed to create a whole new market for services consumption in the home. So it seems that the credit crunch meets a shift in the market to move from selling a product once at an every decreasing price and margin towards a continuous services revenue model obtained from the product being in place.
Sometimes its what you don’t see at a trade show that is as revealing as what you do see, so is this the lesson from CES and MacWorld, and is this the start of 2009 being a sea change in markets? What did you make of it?

About the author

61.thumbnail CES and MacWorld are unexciting, or is that the real point? Capgemini Global Chief Technology Officer, Andy is a member of the Capgemini Group management board and advises on all aspects of technology-driven market changes, together with being a member of the Policy Board for the British Computer Society. Andy is the author of many white papers, and the co-author three books that have charted the current changes in technology and its use by business starting in 2006 with ‘Mashup Corporations’ detailing how enterprises could make use of Web 2.0 to develop new go to market propositions. This was followed in May 2008 by Mesh Collaboration focussing on the impact of Web 2.0 on the enterprise front office and its working techniques, then in 2010 “Enterprise Cloud Computing: A Strategy Guide for Business and Technology leaders” co-authored with well-known academic Peter Fingar and one of the leading authorities on business process, John Pyke. The book describes the wider business implications of Cloud Computing with the promise of on-demand business innovation. It looks at how businesses trade differently on the web using mash-ups but also the challenges in managing more frequent change through social tools, and what happens when cloud comes into play in fully fledged operations. Andy was voted one of the top 25 most influential CTOs in the world in 2009 by InfoWorld and is grateful to readers of Computing Weekly who voted the Capgemini CTOblog the best Blog for Business Managers and CIOs each year for the last three years.




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4 Responses to CES and MacWorld are unexciting, or is that the real point?

  • Phil Blades says:

    Hi Andy, happy 2009! I think this is going to be a very interesting year, and I agree our past favorite haunt, the Las Vegas Convention Centre was a bit lacking in some areas of technology innovation.
    That said the new development battleground is the smart phone where (at last) there is innovation, choice and opportunities for all.

  • Andy Mulholland andy mulholland says:

    Hi Phil
    good to hear from you and all best wishes for 2009!
    I was slightly surprised that two things have not generated more interest when i led with them. First is the Ballmer comment on ‘reset’. what i think he meant was its time to hit the big red button and re boot our industry with some very different factors coming into play.
    And what better illustration of that is there than the iPhone creating a similar but different impact as to Windows at the beginning.
    so to me it more consolidation around certain new devices or device types, not about a lot of new devices with new functions
    best andy

  • Sunil Parekh says:

    Hi Andy, I think we’re at an interesting point in technology. Perhaps its driven by a need for a ‘confluence of convenience’ – perhaps I should register that phrase :-) . So maybe innovation now is really about making it easier and simpler to use services and software.
    For example the big plus for me on the iphone is how simple and easy it is to download and use content rather than its good looks (it does look pretty swish!).
    I think the winners out there will be those products that simply and easily integrate content with convenience. This in turn will drive up adoption and usage and thus drive up content revenues.

  • Andy Mulholland andy mulholland says:

    Hi Sunil
    like the phrase so think you should definitely ‘own it’ !
    to me the iphone shows this up best, Apple has created a lifestyle community who know how to use technology and want to try new things that are integrated, useful and fun.
    so the whole Apple iPhone has created an ‘accelerated confluence of convenience’ in the manner you are talking about. no big new shiny devices instead a mass of personalized small ‘plug ins’ to the key life style device.
    andy

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