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Technology Predictions 2009: the compilation
As we are entering the final stage of quite an interesting year, let’s see what the collective wisdom of the contributors to our CTO and Capping IT Off blogs has come up with. Here is our compiled list of 2009 Technology predictions:
1. Deliberately Disconnected. Confronted every day with an ocean of information and stimuli, we will more and more actively seek to disconnect ourselves from the madness whenever we need. See also 5, 13 and 14.
2. Cisco will be KLM – Air France biggest challenger. For obvious reasons, we will travel less in 2009 and instead use technology to communicate and collaborate.
3. First convict for hacking into a cloud. The cloud is destined to become main stream in 2009. And as the definite proof of it, hackers will become attracted by it. See also 4, 6, 8 and 11.
4. Stop this web 2.0 hocus pocus, we told you so. For that matter, next to the cloud, web 2.0 is finally becoming business main stream in 2009. Another definite proof of it: we’ll see the first monumental failures. See also 3, 6, 8, 11, 16 and 18.
5. Email is dead. Enough is enough! Outlook and BlackBerry will no longer rule our life. See also 1, 13 and 14.
6. Cloud-in-a-container. Business will start using the cloud. But some will prefer to experiment with a safer cloud ‘on premise’. It’s like having a cloud on the ground that you can look into. See also 3, 4, 8 and 11.
7. WebKit surpasses Flash Player penetration. WebKit is a piece of open source software that is so widely used that it even will surpass the device penetration of Adobe’s Flash player.
8. “Trust” is the new version of “Control”. Did we already predict that the cloud will be main stream in 2009? Anyway, as a result, we will rely more on trusting others (cloud suppliers for example) that on control by ourselves. See also 3, 4, 6, 11, 17 and 18.
9. Music-as-a-Service (…at last). Any music, at any time, in any way, at any device: 2009 will be a breakthrough year for – well – a cloud of music.
10. Let’s socialise! We’re all recognizing the power of social networks. And next year, it will even happen in business. See also 4 and 18.
11. Standards bodies wake up to clouds. Is it Groundhog Day or what? Anyway, with the cloud penetrating the enterprise, standards bodies will become much more active, for example around service management and security. See also 3, 4, 6 and 8.
12. Bricolage IT. Central IT departments may lack the budget and the energy to pick up a new generation of IT tools that aim for the near proximity of business. So business units are bound to do it themselves, in true ‘bricolage’ style. See also 15.
13. Information filtering and behavioral targeting are the new gold. There is too much information and we are almost overrun by it. Filtering and behavioral targeting are the new tools to deal with it. See also 1, 5 and 14.
14. Slow IT. Stop the ADHD! We will contemplate our IT household and choose for a more careful, better balanced use of technology. See also 1, 5 and 13.
15. The end of the user. Finally, we will stop considering persons as ‘users’ of information technology and instead we all become ‘participants’ of systems, actually becoming one with information technology. See also 12.
16. Death of the money making core product. Forget about making a profit on your core product. Instead, businesses will make creative use of web 2.0 to sell ancillary products and services that generate a much better margin. See also 4.
17. A more sensible approach to de-risking data loss. 2009 will see many more examples of holistic security and information management as a major step towards mitigating the risk of data loss. Buzzword to follow: Enterprise Digital Rights Management (ERM). See also 3, 4 and 8.
18. “Open” is the new “Closed”. Open up your assets to the outside world and find new, innovative ways of collaboration and co-creation in the new year. See also 4, 8 and 10.
Apparently some clouds in 2009, we can safely conclude, accompanied by the enterprise use of Web 2.0. A new emphasis on standards, trust and security. And – amid all the buzz – a plea to leave technology every now and then for what it is. A lot to look forward to, I hope you agree. Anything we are missing or completely wrong about? Let us know. Hope to meet you frequently next year again on our blogs or – better still – in real life. All the best!
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Comments
# on January 2, 2009 9:14 PM, Vincent said:
This is very inspiring. Thanks for sharing.
# on January 5, 2009 10:33 AM, Mark Nankman said:
Awesome collaborative effort! It was great fun participating in this. Thanks for linking the pieces together.
If we would generate a word cloud for this post, the word "cloud" would definitely stand out the most.
# on January 9, 2009 6:18 PM, Valentin said:
Really enjoyed reading these predictions, thanks! As for "anything we missed": Renewed interest in Green IT, eGovernenment and Social Media, BI becoming capable of dealing with larger data sets and becoming easier to use, Mobile software and app stores changing the software market ... you can read more about it here: http://www.valentinzacharias.de/blog/2009/01/year-of-cloud-synthesis-of-67-it.html (where I attempt to summarize more than 60 IT predictions from around the web)
# on January 11, 2009 1:14 PM, Ron Tolido said:
@Valenting: many thanks for your builds. Surely hope there will be a 'renewed' interest in Green IT. Obviously, the current downturn sort of shifted business priorities. Quite an elaborate analysis you have made on your site of 2009 predictions. Recommended to anyone interested in where the new year might bring us.
# on January 11, 2009 1:15 PM, Ron Tolido said:
@Mark: yep ,we should have created a tag cloud... Good idea for next year!
# on January 12, 2009 12:05 AM, Cass Brewer said:
Ron, there's a lot of great insight here. A couple of things made me laugh...
1. "It’s like having a cloud on the ground that you can look into." Erm...a lot of us call that a "fog."
2. Some of the items overlap---especially the points referring to overcome information fracture and overload. If you correlated and consolidated those items, you'd probably have something like 10 predictions, instead of 20...which, ironically, would be a good start.
...Not to denegrate the value of your predictions at all. More than most, you illustrate the real pains of tech execs and how emerging trends *should* be used as cures. Of course many remedies can also be toxins. So, it'll be interesting to see whether 2009 meets your expectations or serves to aggravate your aggravations.
# on January 12, 2009 12:41 AM, Cass Brewer said:
Lots of great insight here. A couple of things made me laugh, though...
1. "It’s like having a cloud on the ground that you can look into." Erm...that's usually called a "fog."
2. If you correlated and consolidated overlapping predictions--many of which are about solving information overload, you'd probably have something like 10 predictions instead of 20...which, ironically, would be a good start.
...Not to denegrate the value of your predictions at all, of course. More than most, you illustrate the real pains of tech execs and how emerging trends *should* be used as cures. Of course many remedies can also be toxins. So, it'll be interesting to see whether 2009 meets your expectations or serves to aggravate your aggravations.
# on January 12, 2009 8:00 AM, Ron Tolido said:
Cass, thanks for your comments. And no doubt, at the end of 2009 we will have yet another look at how our predictions turned out to be in practice. Interesting idea to call our cloud-in-a-container concept 'fog', not so sure though about how execs will take that...
# on January 15, 2009 5:45 AM, Balaji Sundaram said:
Class of an art-ticle.... Lots of thing to learn...What is truly going to effect us...(both personally and professionally) and the best part of all is the shift of "user" to "participant".... Truly informative and impressive.... with lots of “Do and Don’t “ for the forthcoming year…
# on May 6, 2009 9:38 AM, Mark Nankman said:
Seems we were spot on: http://www.hyperoffice.com/enterprise-collaboration/